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What is win to nil betting? How to profit from win to nil bets in 2019

By September 12, 2019Betting
Win to nil betting

Win to nil betting is a popular format that many football punters use on a regular basis in their strategy.

Whilst you need a keen eye for stats, bettors of all levels can use this format to increase their profitability.

In this article, we’re going to look at what win to nil betting is, how you can use this football betting strategy along with a number of top tips.

Ready? Let’s get started.

What is win to nil betting?

Win to nil betting sounds complicated but in reality, it’s very simple.

With this form of football betting, you are backing one team to win a match and the other team to not score.

Your bet is effectively split into two and both parts of the bet must come true for this to be a winning bet. If the match ends up in a draw, if the other team wins or if both teams score your bet will lose.

Win to nil example

Here’s an example you might place.

Let’s say that you’ve found a suitable fixture (more on this below) between Man City and Norwich City and you place a win to nil bet on Man City. Note: these teams are at opposite ends of the Premier League.

Win to nil betting on Man City and Norwich

In this scenario, Man City must score and keep a clean sheet for your bet to win. In other words, Norwich can’t score during the fixture. If they do, you lose your bet.

Placing win to nil bets

Win to nil betting has a number of benefits for punters that use this format wisely.

It’s best to place these bets when there is a clear favourite to win the game. So if Man City were playing a team like Norwich who currently sit at the bottom end of the Premier League, a win to nil bet would be a great option.

You also need to pick teams with a tight defence or the other team with a poor attacking ability. The favourites could well dominate the fixture but you don’t want the opposition to score a consolation goal for example.

So far in the 2018/19 Premier League season, there have been 14 matches when this type of bet would have won. Out of 40 games played so far, that’s 35%.

As you can see, these scenarios occur pretty often in the Premier League.

Win to nil betting top tips

Here are some great tips to maximise your profit from win to nil betting in 2019 and beyond.

Consider defensive form

Whilst it’s important to select a team that are favourites to win a fixture, you also need to consider the team’s defensive record. Some teams score a lot of goals but also concede plenty of goals.

To recap, we need the favourite to win with a clean sheet for our win to nil bet to come in.

Before you place any win to nil bets, you should check the goals against stat for the favourite. You can also check out how many clean sheets they’ve kept.

Last season, Liverpool let in the least number of goals standing at just 22. They were closely followed by Man City on 23. These are definitely two teams to consider placing win to nil bets on.

Consider attacking quality

So we know we need to look at the defensive form of the favourite but we should also consider the attacking form of the underdog.

Some weaker opponents in the Premier League sometimes score quite a few goals. Whilst this isn’t the case for all teams, it’s still important to consider.

Harry Kane - football

In this regard, it’s advisable to check the goals for stats for the underdog. As it stands, Watford is the Premier League team with the least number of goals scored.

Check team news

Another tip that will help you land more win to nil bets is to check team news and selections. Specifically, you should look for any players that are injured or aren’t playing for one reason or another.

This is especially important if these players are key to a team’s attack or defence.

In this vein, you should also consider whether certain strikers or defenders are playing well. You can soon read up on this information by checking out match reviews or watching match of the day.

Don’t make assumptions

After reading this article, you may head to your favourite bookmaker and place a win to nil bet on a team like Man City, Liverpool, Barcelona or Real Madrid. Whilst all these teams are incredibly strong outfits, it doesn’t mean you’re going to win your bet.

You need to look at the stats and use the above tips to analyse whether or not the fixture is worth placing a win to nil bet on.

In simple terms, don’t pick a fixture just because a class A team are playing.

Summary

Win to nil betting is a great choice for punters who are interested in the statistics of football. However, literally any bettor can use this format to place their football bets.

As long as you carefully analyse who’s playing and whether you have a chance of landing your bet, you’ll be successful with this strategy.

Let me know your thoughts of win to nil betting by leaving a comment below right now.

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About Charles

Charles is the founder of The Sure Bettor. He built the company with the aim of 'getting the word out' about matched betting.

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